A 1% drop in mortgage rates could add 5.5 million buyers to the market; rates have already fallen 0.75%. Current rates near 6.25% suggest only a 0.25% further drop is needed to unlock this demand. Experts predict rates around 6.2% in 2026, supporting modest affordability improvements and increased inventory. Median home prices have declined, easing monthly payments. The 2026 housing market may normalize with higher sales but no major buyer's market.
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